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The west clings on to the old Arab order at its peril

The protests in Cairo are now in their third week, and despite everything that has happened in the furious, violent yet ultimately hopeful 15 days in the Egyptian capital, the bond between President Mubarak's regime and his western allies, the US in particular, appears if anything to be strengthening.

Of course, old habits and instincts forged over three decades of mutual strategic interests are not going to crumble overnight. President Obama and Senator John McCain have both been at pains to stress how Mubarak has been a friend to the US and an ally on the questions of Israel-Palestine and Islamist movements. Now, after days of policy being made on the hoof – one minute saying Egypt was stable, and the next calling for change – Washington seems to think that they and Mubarak are out of the woods.

As a western journalist who's lived and reported from the region, the world view and belief that goes into forging this notion is perhaps the most shocking aspect of this whole crisis. The reason is the stark and utterly different ways in which the anti-regime protests in Egypt, Tunisia and Yemen are perceived and analysed in the Arab world and in the west. We may all be watching the same live pictures from Tahrir Square or downtown Tunis but they are seen to mean two entirely different things.

In every corner of the Arab world there is the open appreciation that this is a moment in which the world has changed. The Arab governing consensus of the last 50 years is shattered and there is no going back – regardless of what formula, compromise or brokered timeframe is arrived at for "a managed transition", to use the oft-repeated diplomatic euphemism of the moment.

And yet switch on most mainstream western TV channels or open the newspapers and there is still a lot of umming and aahhing: will the Muslim Brotherhood come to power? What about stability in the region? How should the west now deal with rulers who were for so long its allies? How should the west help to bring about transitional bodies, etc ... It sometimes seems that it's not just the autocrats who aren't getting the message of "GAME OVER"; many western governments and analysts don't seem to get it either.

Hindsight is a wonderful thing at such moments, yet you would be hard pressed to find many people who have lived and worked in the Middle East as journalists, diplomats or businessmen for any length of time in the past three decades who would be completely surprised at the social and demographic changes that have produced this political convulsion. The revolutions taking place now in the Arab world, and those that will inevitably happen in the coming months and years have been 30 years in the making.

The Arab world has been undergoing irreversible social change in this period that the west and Arab rulers just ignored. One incredible statistic sums this up: two-thirds of the 350 million people in the Arab world are under 35.

This is a new generation that does not see its own society and the world in the same way that many in the west do. I was in Tunisia during the overthrow of Ben Ali and western analysts were telling me that Tunisia was a one-off and that a country such as Egypt was completely different, with a too-strong security apparatus. Now, analysts are saying that the Egyptian example simply cannot happen in Yemen (because the society is too tribal), that it can't happen in Syria because Bashar al-Assad is not as reviled as Mubarak, and so on.

This generation of young Arabs have grown up in a period where an independent, brave and global Arab media has developed. They are all able to see and empathise with each other's lives: Egyptians know how Jordanians live, Yemenis know how Algerians feel. That wasn't true 20 years ago. Young Arabs see the repression, corruption, dashed aspirations and youth culture that is emerging from Iraq to Morocco – and what's more they are able to communicate about it.

These aspirations, demands and ambitions are universal. They all watch Arab Pop Idol, they all follow their own hip-hop artists rapping about poverty and corruption ... and yes, they're all on Facebook.

Globalisation has also meant that millions of Arabs from places such as Syria, Egypt, Algeria have migrated, worked and experienced life abroad, and they have seen things they want to have back in their own homelands.

This isn't just about the buzzwords of democracy, human rights and free and fair elections. It is about hard-nosed calculations of where our interests in the Middle East lie in the next 30 years. Make no mistake, while this new emerging generation in the Arab world aspires to the western ideal of an open and free life, they have grown up in societies and economies where slowly but tangibly, countries such as Russia, India, South Africa and most prominently China are starting to do business and woo the young entrepreneurs, bureaucrats and diplomats of the Arab world.

A question that has been asked in a whisper around the Middle East in the past five years has been: why always wait around for the west when we have the Chinese knocking on our doors, who don't make us jump through one hoop after another. Just look at where China has got a foothold recently – it's an oil producer in Iraq and Sudan, it has huge interests in Iran and it's heavily engaged and drilling for oil in Ethiopia. I've even met Chinese businesspeople and technicians in northern Pakistan, and on a beach on the Red Sea in northern Somalia, barely three hours' sail from Yemen.

China is gaining firm footholds in the region, and will continue to do so unless we realise that the game is completely and utterly over for those leaders we have relied on for the past 30 years. This new generation will not forgive us for continuing to hanker after aged autocrats whose time is clearly up, instead of going after this new generation who will rule this region. From the Arab perspective, it sometimes looks and feels like the US and its European allies are losing their Middle East hegemony in a fit of absentmindedness.

William Hague is right to be one of the first (if not the first) foreign ministers of a major western power to go to Tunis and meet the still embryonic government taking over from the Ben Ali regime. But it's not just about making these gestures after the event – the whole Arab world has to know that we too are now looking towards the region's future, rather than trying to shore up its past.

Our interest now is to be seen as being a committed friend and supporter of the aspirational movement that is emerging on the streets of Arab capitals. If we drag our feet or seem reticent, we will lose credibility and currency with the new rulers that will undoubtedly emerge in the coming months and years. The strategic cost to us by dithering will be seismic in the long run – and to the benefit of countries like China.

www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/2011/feb/08/arab-order-west-rageh-omaar

Heather I Deepthroat 2009

Hosni Mubarak, Barack Obama, and Vladimir Putin are at a meeting together

 when suddenly God appears before them.

"I have come to tell you that the end of the world will be in two days," God says. "Tell your people."

So each leader goes back to his capital and prepares a television address.

In Washington, Obama says, "My fellow Americans, I have good news and bad news. The good news is that I can confirm that God exists. The bad news is that he told me the world would end in two days."

In Moscow, Putin says, "People of Russia, I regret that I have to inform you of two pieces of bad news. First, God exists, which means everything our country has believed in for most of the last century was false. Second, the world is ending in two days."

In Cairo, Mubarak says, "O Egyptians, I come to you today with two pieces of excellent news! First, God and I have just held an important summit. Second, he told me I would be your president until the end of time."

Vegetative State And Hunger

When Nasser became president,

he wanted a vice president stupider than himself to avoid a challenger, so he chose Sadat. When Sadat became president, he chose Mubarak for the same reason. But Mubarak has no vice president because there is no one in Egypt stupider than he is.

God summons Azrael and tells him, "It's time to get Hosni Mubarak."
"Are you sure?" Azrael asks timidly.
God insists: "Yes, his time has come; go and bring me his soul."
So Azrael descends from heaven and heads straight for the presidential palace. Once there, he tries to walk in, but he is Captured by State Security. They throw him in a cell, beat him up, and torture him. Several months after I is finally set free.
Back in heaven, God Sees him all bruised and broken and asks, "What happened?"
"State Security beat me and Torture Me," God tells Azrael. "They only just sat me back."
God goes pale and says in a frightened voice, "Did you tell Them I Sent You?"

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Jalisco, Nayarit y Colima, campo de batalla entre grupos de narcos


Mexico City. The second quarter of 2010 marked the beginning of a growing violence in the states of Jalisco, Nayarit and Colima, the dispute caused by holding the group Los Zetas, in combination with the Beltran Leyva, faced with the Sinaloa cartel, the Valencia, La Familia and the Gulf.

This situation prompted the government of Jalisco develop a new strategy against organized crime, including police roadblocks on the main streets of Guadalajara for the revision of cars with plates from other states, mainly Tamaulipas Michoacán.

also promotes military facilities are built in the area bordering Michoacan, according to the official information released obtained last week in that state.

The area is considered by criminal groups one of the most important points for the receipt of precursor chemicals from Asia, also the base for the smuggling of cocaine from Central and South ; rich by speedboats. Above all, the Guadalajara metropolitan area until last year was a sanctuary for drug traffickers and their families, officials involved in the National Security Cabinet and the National System of Public Security.

The causes of violence, according to information obtained, are located in the execution of Colonel Alexander at the hands of Los Zetas, in early April 2010 and the death of his father, the kingpin Ignacio Coronel Villarreal Nacho on 31 July of that year, who was shot dead by army troops.

Interviewees noted that those deaths caused a split in the group of El Chapo "Guzman Loera, with the emergence of resistance, and also the emergence of New generation Jalisco cartel n. According

Database of killings allegedly linked to organized crime, developed by the federal government, violence has increased in these entities. Thus, while in 2009 it committed 37 murders in Nayarit, for the following year totaled 377; in Colima reported 33 deaths in 2009 and 2010 were killed 101 people.

It makes Jalisco, violence is more: in 2009 there were 261 such deaths last year and totaled 593 killings by criminal groups. In a single month, January 2011, there were 72 cases.
Deaths, alliances and breakups

The October 28, 2009 was arrested Orlando Nava, El Lobo Valencia (recently extradited to the U.S.), the main operator Nacho Coronel. According to the Ministry of Public Security of Jalisco, where he began breaking up the colonel who headed Villarreal and controlling the states of Nayarit, Colima and Jalisco.

After the capture of El Lobo Valencia, say federal authorities, Guzman Loera sought to increase its presence in the area of Nacho Coronel, which resulted in disputes among groups of hired killers, prompting more of executions, from 148 in 2008 to 261 in 2009, according to government statistics.

On 7 April 2010, at the luxury resort Paradise Village in Nuevo Vallarta, Colonel Alexander, who allegedly had about 17 years old, was raised along with two friends, while Fernando Gurrola Coronado, former president Federation of Students of the University of Guadalajara, Vallarta campus, was executed there. Versions

government signal that members of Los Zetas were killed, while police ran in circles the story that had been an act ordered by Joaquin "El Chapo Guzman.

Days later, the group allegedly Nacho Coronel surrendered to authorities at Santiago Lizarraga, El Chaguín, the main operator of the cartel Beltran Leyva in Nayarit, while more than 12 gunmen were killed and incinerated.
state and federal sources consulted agreed that, after the death of her son, Nacho Coronel had begun to lose control of their areas of operation, especially with the entrance to Jalisco members Family, Valencia and Gulf cartel, under the auspices of Guzmán Loera.

On July 31 last year, the Mexican military carried out an operation in the division Colinas de San Javier, where he gunned down Ignacio Coronel Villarreal. In government circles Jalisco mentioned that his former partners in Sinaloa cartel had betrayed him. Five days later, through a video on the web, announced the New Generation Jalisco cartel. In a paper noted that other organizations would not operate in the state.

Local officials reported that this organization is composed of operators, drug dealers and thugs originating in Jalisco, serving Ignacio Coronel and his son. Its main rival

constituent members of the so-called resistance, composed of the Sinaloa cartel, La Familia, Gulf and Valencia, composed mainly of people born in Durango, Sinaloa, Tamaulipas, Mex Michoacány status Mexico, officials of Public Safety Jalisco. After the death of Nacho Coronel, the Sinaloa cartel was with three leaders: Joaquin Guzman Loera, Ismael "El Mayo" Zambada and Juan Jose Esparragoza Moreno, El Azul.

authorities Nayarit, Colima and Jalisco said the new organization consists of offenders between 25 and 35 years of age, own property even in residential areas of Guadalajara, Zapopan, Tlajomulco, Tlaquepaque , Tonala, Juanacatlány El Salto.

In recent days, state administration sources said that according to intelligence, it is estimated that Resistance is a group of about 200 men very very well trained and operational.
The group said according to information from local authorities, is led by major operators in the Gulf Cartel and La Familia Michoacana, which has assumed control he had over the cartel Jalisco Sinaloa, so do not rule out that in the coming months, living a split between groups that are part of the resistance, mainly for control of the entity Jalisco. Attacks and narcobloqueos


The confrontation between members of Jalisco New Generacióny caused Resistance several days of riots in mid-January and early February of this year, mainly in municipalities that make up the metropolitan area of Guadalajara, where there were narcobloqueos, attacks on police headquarters, detonation No grenades and various confrontations with the Mexican Army, Federal Police and local authorities.

Before this wave of violence, coupled with the call made to officials of U.S. consulate not to travel at night through the streets, and to counteract a "bad image" of the downtown area of Guadalajara Jalisco, mainly, where this year there will be the Pan American Games, "the local government is preparing a new patrol strategy that will include the participation of federal authorities.

also received a budget increase of one thousand 100 million pesos, to implement public safety programs.
With regard to criminal records from December 2006 to December 2010, municipalities have been more violent Jalisco Zapopan, with 164 murders, Guadalajara, 145; Tlajomulco de Zuniga, 81, Tlaquepaque, 69, Puerto Vallarta, 49; Tepatitlán, 35; Tonala 31; El Salto, 1930; Tequila, 25; Jilotlán, 1921, e Ixtlahuacány Ocotlán, 18.